It’s the Economy, Stupid, says the University of Colorado
People have become increasingly skeptical and dissatisfied with major election polling — and with good reason. All too often polls no longer seem to reflect demographic reality or eventual election results. Recently several excellent articles have been written evaluating the pro’s and con’s of election polling and their questionable predictive ability. These articles examine various relevant issues; accuracy, demographic sampling versus voter demographics or political party affiliation, national versus state versus local polls and how they relate, or the relative merits of one polling company’s proclamations versus another… The media just adores this very contentious issue — reporting and debating the ‘horse race’ provides endless fodder for the front page. However, while mucking around in the weeds, the forest is all too often ignored; for the most part, polls which have become extremely numerous over the years, have simply become far less accurate — or perhaps this is just surrendered as “something that goes without saying.” Polls that do manage to accurately predict one election frequently fail to do so in other elections.
One might protest, “So what, polls are the best thing we have!” Or “what else can we use?” Well, it turns out that there actually may be a better way to predict presidential election results. A rather obscure university model has proven to be far more reliable than public polling — or pretty much any other model. Continue reading
Posted in Politics, Polls
Tagged ABC, CBS, economics, election, Electoral College, Gallop, NBC, Obama, Pew, polling, Polls, PPP, presidential, Rasmussen, Romney, University of Colorado, WSJ
Some time ago the Obama administration introduced the world to a new policy doctrine branded “Leading from Behind.” It’s unclear exactly what is meant by this seemingly contradictory phrase. Perhaps it was intended to illustrate gentle, bipartisan, but firm leadership as the Chief Executive. Perhaps to show that the United States is just one nation among many — not exceptional — with the same voice as any other nation no matter size, government structure, or human rights record. Maybe the idea is that a humble attitude would result in our being more liked. Leading from Behind was coupled with the idea of “Smart Power,” which apparently means wielding our nation’s might like a scalpel; limited, judiciously, in accordance with other nation’s wishes — we’ll go along to get along, so to speak.
Regardless, all Obama seems to manage to do is lead from behind. He has a real penchant for it, demonstrating this time and again in Continue reading
It seems that Obama, with or without a teleprompter, just can’t quite cut it — at least not without the mainstream media (MSM) covering for him. I’ve been trying to follow along and keep the story straight, but that can be difficult. Let me see if I can lay it all out for you.
First, I am still looking for the other 10 states that Obama said we had; “I’ve now been in 57 states? I think one left to go. Alaska and Hawaii, I was not allowed to go to even though I really wanted to visit, but my staff would not justify it…” Continue reading
In 2009, America installed the Obama program. Unfortunately, it seems to have major programming flaws or is malware. Problems encountered include Obamanomics, Obamacare, Obamageddon, deactivation of Constitution, Blame Bush, Indefinite Detention (American Citizen version), deactivation of Rights to Due Process, deactivation of Foreign Nation Sovereignty, Commie-unity, denigration of Office of the President, Obamanation, Obamalies, Obamarrhoids, Ovaricator, Obamarrhea, Baracknaphobia, and other problems.
Fortunately there is a simple solution: Continue reading